Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 17, 2019 |

Echoes from the Riviera of Purgatory: Investing for the Future

“China is in deep trouble”; “China is recovering” “All hell is breaking loose with the trade war”; “We are very close to a trade deal” “Brexit on March 29th”; “Brexit […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 4, 2019 |

The Bond Market and Investors’ Assertiveness

On March 28, the 10-year Treasury’s yield dropped to 2.34% due to exaggerated fears of an imminent recession. The drop in rates in the first quarter of this year (see […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 25, 2019 |

Brexit and the Grim Picture Unfolding in the Midst of Rising Risks: The Berthe Morisot Dimension

This Friday, March 29th, was supposed to be the day of Brexit. The earliest possible date for Brexit has now been pushed back to April 12th. Over the course of […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 20, 2019 |

Contemplating a Market Reversal: The Importance of Hedging

Just after the market closed on Tuesday, Federal Express issued an earnings warning. Specifically, it reported declining international revenue and blamed it on deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and weaker global trade […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 13, 2019 |

Anti-Epics, Brexit, and Market Outcomes: A Mark of an Epic Misconception and Mismanagement

Homer is the classical epic. Virgil is the epic of Rome. Sirat Bani Hilal is the Arabian epic. Dante is the epic of Christendom. Milton is the epic of the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 7, 2019 |

Emerging Markets Developments and the Growth Trajectory

Just a couple of days ago, the Chinese authorities announced that growth this year is expected to range between 6-6.5%. A number of publications pointed out that this is the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 21, 2019 |

Projected Q1 Earnings Contraction: Valuations, Momentum, and Resistance Levels

Confused perspectives in the last quarter of 2018 created havoc in markets. However, since the beginning of this year the pause in interest rates hiking along with reduced tensions in […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 13, 2019 |

Impotent Realism vs. Impossible Idealism: Simplicissimus of the Land of Stable Disequilibrium Meets Cardinal Richelieu of the Land of Unstable Equilibrium

The year 1648 symbolizes the beginning of the modern era. Moreover, the Westphalia Treaty signed in 1648 gave us the international state system and became a cornerstone of “laws” governing […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 7, 2019 |

On Earnings and Economic Prospects: Risks Assessment

 Since the beginning of the year, equity as well as debt-related markets have been on an upswing. The concession given by the Fed on rate increases, the truce on […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 24, 2019 |

Between Fear and Hope: Let’s Choose Hope

 We are at an economic, financial, and political crossroad. That crossroad extends from the East and reaches out to the West. From fear of an economic slowdown in China […]