Dollar Trajectory and Geopolitical Tensions: The New Thucydides Route
The dollar has been getting stronger at a time when the Chinese have started to price oil in renminbi. In simple statecraft language, such action by the Chinese could just be perceived as unacceptable at a time when the US trade deficit with China stands at such high...Market Isosthenia in a World of Etatism: The Triumph of Illiberalism
We live by appearances and as we pretend that all things are getting better and that debts do not matter we are becoming villains perpetuating a culture of Pyrrhonism[1] where isostheneia (a situation of equal strength) implants and imputes in us a mentality of...Leverage, Valuations, and Earnings: Algorithmic Complexities, Monetary Gamesmanship, and Capital Protection
This year’s market gyrations should be viewed under the microscope of leverage. When we do that as the first figure shows below, then we can possibly start comprehending that in an environment of rising volatility, political instability, and geopolitical tensions,...Is the Market Turning? Fundamental Changes and Cross-Determination
In this week’s commentary, we would like to discuss our perspective for the short-term based on some changes we have been observing in the market. However, before we show this – mainly through some graphs – allow us to clarify the cross-determination part of the...Rotation Strategies: Earnings Prospects and Fed’s Tightening Cycle
During times of accommodative monetary policies when rates drop and earnings prospects shine, growth stocks usually outperform value stocks. In a basic valuation model of discounting future earnings (especially for growth-oriented companies), value-oriented stocks...Sign Up for Our Publications
