Economic Recovery and Market Trajectory
When we look at US jobs data, we get a clear picture that more than 7 out of the 22 million jobs lost during the Covid-19 crisis have been recovered. That fact by itself is a powerful factor in explaining the market’s recovery. However, the surge of infections...Market Developments and Wildcards
There is little doubt that stock market indicators (besides the rally itself until recently) pointed to a recovery that is better than the one expected by the majority of analysts, economists, and market watchers. The equity markets recovered most of the losses that...Kleptocratic Authoritarianism and the Chinese Dragon
“President Putin is the leader of a great country who is influential around the world. He is my best, most intimate friend”, Xi Jinping, 2018 Hello darkness, I am still looking for useful idiots. The petrostate is at my disposal, so feudalism has been redefined. I no...Reinvestment Runaways
We’ve demonstrated that companies that generate high ROIC are time and again the most valuable businesses and stocks to own. In addition, the persistent presence of excess returns points to a moat, a unique business model, inimitable set of characteristics or assets,...The Revenge of the Numbers, The Illusion of Theories, and the Delusion of Expectations
Let’s us make no mistake: we are thrilled when the news pleasantly surprises us, contrary to expectations. Rather than the increase in the unemployment rate, more jobs were created in the month of May than the jobs that were lost, (more than 60% of the various...Sign Up for Our Publications
