Publications

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 11, 2017 |

Banks and Financial Stability: A Uniquely Transformational Story

In the last few days, we had three pretty interesting developments related to the banking sector around the globe: EU developments, Basel 3, and an IMF report regarding China’s banks. […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: December 9, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The U.K. and the E.U. reached an agreement Friday on Brexit terms after six months of tense talks. The deal clears the path for discussions to start next […]

By: Ken Rietz | On: December 6, 2017 |

Sector Focus: Semiconductors

Over the course of the next several weeks, we will be discussing our views on particular sectors which in our opinion may present some challenges and opportunities. This week we […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: December 3, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action November was the best month for Eurozone factories in over 17 years. IHS Markit’s final manufacturing PMI for the Eurozone climbed to 60.1 last month from October’s 58.5. […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: December 1, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

November 2017   The global economic outlook remains sunny, with growth stronger than expected in most parts of the world. This benign state of affairs could be misleading because “averages” […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 30, 2017 |

Monetary Trends and 2018 Outlook: Searching for Value

The recent data on M3 (a broader definition of money supply that includes money market funds and large time deposits) show that its growth has been 6.5% (year-on-year) and actually […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 22, 2017 |

Valuation Fatigue and Credit Outlook: An Initial Assessment of 2018

Given the fundamental trends, we expect global growth to remain healthy in 2018, and therefore we also expect that the credit risk appetite will also remain healthy in 2018. Having […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: November 19, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equities edged slightly lower this week amid an uptick in volatility. Yields on benchmark US 10-year Treasury notes slipped a few basis points to 2.35%, and the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 15, 2017 |

At the Corridors of Power: Markets and Geopolitical Developments

The proxy war between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and Iran is intensifying and our fear is that it may ignite a regional conflict with far-reaching global consequences, especially […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: November 12, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equities reached all-time highs at midweek before backing down amid anxiety about delays in US corporate tax cuts. Saudi Arabia’s crackdown on corruption, growing tensions between Iran […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: November 9, 2017 |

The Strategic Importance of Brazil

by Evan Ellis Evan Ellis, Phd, is a research professor of Latin American Studies at the U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute with a focus on the region’s relationships […]