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The Fizzling Out of Productivity Growth Rate: Examining the Credit Velocity Link

by John E. Charalambakis | Jun 1, 2016 | Commentaries

Productivity growth in the US will decline for the first time in over thirty years, raising the obvious question: How about all those magnificent innovations that constantly change our lives and transform our world from the internet of things to the latest smart phone...

On the Dark Hidden Pools of Chinese Liabilities: Debt Binge and Capital Outflows

by John E. Charalambakis | May 26, 2016 | Commentaries

In September 2010 we warned of the Chinese Wall of Steroids, http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/The-Great-Wall-of-Steroids-Vol-2-Issue-3.pdf . In that newsletter we also explained the dangers of WMPs (wealth management products) in China where...

Risk Adjusted Returns, M&A, and Portfolio Structure: What Does Recent Market Activity Tell us?

by John E. Charalambakis | May 19, 2016 | Commentaries

Recent reports by major investment banks carry a flavor of pessimism, by suggesting underweighting equities and higher exposure to high yield. We are cautious over the course of the next few months regarding equities and we would suggest defensive tactics (such as...

The Geopolitics of Market Volatility: Spillover Effects and Macro Fundamentals

by John E. Charalambakis | May 11, 2016 | Commentaries

The act of counterbalancing and possibly containing China has multiple faces. Shinzo Abe, the Prime Minister of Japan met with Vladimir Putin of Russia last weekend in an effort to sway some support regarding the dispute between China and Japan over the Senkaku a.k.a....

Currency Winds and Market Waves: Banks, Central Banks, & Policy Divergence?

by John E. Charalambakis | Apr 29, 2016 | Commentaries

Yesterday’s decision by the Japanese Central Bank not to extend its monetary easing, strengthened the Yen and significantly pressured the Nikkei Index. It has been obvious in the last several months that there is a strong inverse correlation between the Yen and the...
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