Towards a Policy of Rate Neutrality: Implications for Asset Allocation
Since December 2015 the Fed has raised short-term interest rates eight times (from 0-0.25% where it stood in December 2015) to the current level of 2-2.25%. Analysts anticipate that the Fed will continue raising rates. Actually, the expectation is that the FOMC will...Monetary Policy, Currency Misalignments, and Markets’ Memory: Pausing the Hiking of Rates
Inflows to emerging markets dropped by over 65% between July and August of this year. A strengthening American economy and the growing trade tensions have created a rout in emerging markets which is contributing to currency misalignments in Asia and South America....The Spider of Currencies and Trade: Monolithic Tribalism
Over the course of the next few months, problems in emerging markets may intensify. Here is a list of the primary candidates: Turkey, Brazil, Argentina, and China. We certainly do not have the space to discuss all of them in this commentary, but at least we can touch...Equities and Earnings Trajectory: What Have We Learned From the Q2 Reports?
With very little doubt the good earnings growth has uplifted and sustained stocks to high levels. At the same time, good economic growth has uplifted consumer and business confidence levels and has advanced spending. The main question at this point is that if such...Sign Up for Our Publications
