Unrelenting Historical Echoes and Markets’ Behavior: Facing an Unavoidable Void?
By Thursday last week we felt that given the markets drop by 5% this year, it was time to put some money to work by investing into companies with strong fundamentals and which seemed to be at a good entry point. We still believe that this will turn out to be a decent...Beautiful Losers Meet Useful Idiots: A Prolegomenon to an Unexpected Price Wave
I did not expect the last commentary to start becoming a reality so soon. In that last commentary I explained that the emerging markets look like prime territory for a crisis. In the last few days we have witnessed significant emerging market turmoil. It started with...On Malaise, Credit Flows, and Historical Roots: The Watershed Period and the Echoes of Tijuana Moods
As noted from these commentary pages before, I believe that we have entered into a watershed period that will determine if in about two-three years the global economic system collapses, or experiences a rebirth. We live in historical times, and for such a time as this...Balance Sheet Recession Reconsidered: Rebalancing Acts at a Time of Crisis
Richard Koo has been known as the father of the “balance sheet recession” theory. The essence of his theory states that monetary policy becomes ineffective when interest rates drop to almost zero, and thus government spending (fiscal policy) can only rebalance the...Assessing the Prospects for 2014, Part III: Market Trends and Rogue Waves
In this third and final commentary regarding market trends and prospects in 2014, I would like us to concentrate on what we assess to be key-elements for equity markets as the New Year unfolds. But first, a word on bonds: Like last year, we anticipate that the...Sign Up for Our Publications
