Looking back to 2019, we don’t think that it would be a stretch to claim that lower rates and the dovish approach by the Fed lifted up valuations and played a very significant role in the spectacular rise in equities (not that debt markets did not also perform well)....

There is no doubt that the death of Qassem Soleimani may become a stepping-stone for rising violence, turmoil, volatility, risks, and even a new war in a troubled region of the world. The uncertainty that it generates is exacerbated by the possibility that Russia or...

In the boarding area I could clearly see three distinct figures: Johannes Bredenburg, Sir John Templeton, and Spinoza. I knew that I was destined for another treat in this end-of-year flight and I was hoping that more distinguished guests would join the journey. We...

In last week’s commentary, we outlined our overall assessment of a decent start for 2020, but expressed our skepticism for the rest of the year (see Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part I ). The upbeat perspective of most of the analysts for 2020 is based on loose...

We started assessing the outlook for 2020 a few weeks ago. The truth of the matter is that we are facing two almost equally probable scenarios: The first one (adopted by the great majority of analysts) says that growth will continue next year and that the equity...