Publications

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 26, 2017 |

The Fading of Shocks and the Complacency Spirit: A Realistic Midterm/Longterm View

There is a sense of a cyclical recovery around the world.  The shocks of the last 8-10 years (financial crisis, EU debt crisis, commodities downturn) seem to be fading, and […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 23, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action French bond yields and spreads to benchmark German bonds narrowed throughout the course of the week as the nation heads to the polls. The race is a tight […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 20, 2017 |

Assessing Possible High Impact Outcomes: From Egypt to France, and from London to D.C.

As we go down the road where the improbable becomes probable and the non-tradable becomes tradable, we discuss below four possible outcomes that could alter the investment landscape. Those four […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 15, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The dollar fell against a number of currencies on Thursday, particularly the Yen and Yuan, as President Trump declared China to not be a currency manipulator and that […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 11, 2017 |

Complacency in the Midst of Market Cycles: Liquidity Pressures and Geopolitics

Money markets experienced some kind of distortion in the last 18-24 months due to global dollar shortages as the Fed got into the swing of “normalizing” rates. Money markets several […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 9, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March meeting were released this week and portions of their content caught markets by surprise. There was wide agreement among board members that […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 4, 2017 |

Global Market Resilience: Noise, Global Trade, and Policy Directives

In the last couple of weeks a reality seems to be settling in the minds of over-optimistic investors. That reality says that it would not be so easy to enact […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 2, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Brexit is officially a reality as Theresa May invoked Article 50 to remove the United Kingdom from the European Union. The maneuver sets off two years of negotiations […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: March 31, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

March 2017   As in February, robust data continues to support the global synchronized economic recovery. A rise in global trade is taking hold (in volume terms, it just reached […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 29, 2017 |

The Zadig & Micromega Perspective: Global Demand, Servicing the Debt, and Economic Developments

“Zadig” a.k.a. “Destiny: An Oriental Story” and “Micromegas” were two of Voltaire’s philosophical tales dated back in the middle of the 18th century. In the former Voltaire explores the reason’s […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: March 25, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The stock market’s streak of consecutive days without a 1% move down ended at 67 days, the longest streak on record. Politics is being blamed for the downturn […]