Publications

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 9, 2017 |

Sic Tranit Gloria Mundi: Defining Moments in Global Financial History and the Undercurrent of Today’s Developments

There are revolutions, wars, and historical periods that have defined global developments and carry significant weight in shaping up the world economy to this day. There is little if any […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: May 6, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The April employment report came in much stronger than expectations. The unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, a post-crisis low on the heels of 211,000 jobs created in April. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 3, 2017 |

The Powerhouse of Structural Changes: Co-integration, Co-movement, and Disintegration

By 460 CE the Roman Army was dominated by Germanic troops. By that time they had also forgotten a basic lesson that it is the army that elects the Emperor.  […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: May 2, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

April 2017   The IMF global growth forecasts are on the move again, but for the first time in six years they’re on the up. They now anticipate global GDP will […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 30, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action   After France’s election equity markets took off across the globe, approaching recent highs. The Euro reached a five-month high after the results of France’s election and the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 26, 2017 |

The Fading of Shocks and the Complacency Spirit: A Realistic Midterm/Longterm View

There is a sense of a cyclical recovery around the world.  The shocks of the last 8-10 years (financial crisis, EU debt crisis, commodities downturn) seem to be fading, and […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 23, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action French bond yields and spreads to benchmark German bonds narrowed throughout the course of the week as the nation heads to the polls. The race is a tight […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 20, 2017 |

Assessing Possible High Impact Outcomes: From Egypt to France, and from London to D.C.

As we go down the road where the improbable becomes probable and the non-tradable becomes tradable, we discuss below four possible outcomes that could alter the investment landscape. Those four […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 15, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The dollar fell against a number of currencies on Thursday, particularly the Yen and Yuan, as President Trump declared China to not be a currency manipulator and that […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 11, 2017 |

Complacency in the Midst of Market Cycles: Liquidity Pressures and Geopolitics

Money markets experienced some kind of distortion in the last 18-24 months due to global dollar shortages as the Fed got into the swing of “normalizing” rates. Money markets several […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: April 9, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s March meeting were released this week and portions of their content caught markets by surprise. There was wide agreement among board members that […]