Uncertainty in the Garden of Nemesis: Markets, Archimedes’ Circles, and Hegelian Opera
Archimedes' Circles, applied to economic stability. Click for animation. The year was 212 BCE. Archimedes was contemplating, and as he turned over his shoulder, he saw a legionnaire Roman ready to end his life. “Do not disturb my circles,” he shouted. The...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities drop furtherMarkets had their worst week since the beginning of the pandemic, dropping as inflation fears persist. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones closed the week down 5.80% and 4.79% respectively, while the Nasdaq declined 4.78%. The...
Crossroads
At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics June 17, 2022 | Volume 5, Issue 6| Rachel Poole Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded over the last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead:...
Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part XI
First a quick reminder about statistical errors: Type I error implies the rejection of a hypothesis that is true. Example: Nowadays, Google is a cheap stock. If the hypothesis is true and we reject it, then the loss is the opportunity to profit from a cheap valuation,...
Geopolitical Challenges and Statecraft
For this week’s geopolitical look, we take a look at the “bad guys” of the international stage. We begin with an analysis of the de facto blockade of Odessa and other Ukrainian ports, stifling the flow of vital commodities out of the resource-rich country. We also...
When the Streams and Rivers of History Meet the Ocean of Changes: Market Reflections
With little doubt, we are at a historical inflection point from a geopolitical and geoeconomic perspective. The influence of Russia is shrinking (especially in the energy sector), Erdogan in Turkey plays a uniquely ambiguous game, the EU is still searching for a...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities struggle to rebound Global equities were down on the week, failing to continue last week’s rebound. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones closed the week down 1.20% and 0.94% respectively, while the Nasdaq declined 0.98%. The yield on the US...
The Day After & the Era of Transformation
Introduction: As the world continues to grapple with an ongoing series of local and global crises, destabilization has become a recurring theme. One of the first casualties of the Covid pandemic was energy, and that industry’s difficulties have only been exacerbated...
The Wooden Nickel
The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here, you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than make formal proclamations or projections....
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities make gains Global equities broke a seven-week losing streak and made gains. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones closed the week up 6.58% and 6.24% respectively, while the Nasdaq rose 6.84%. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury decreased to...
