Geopolitics & the Day After
This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we explore the unraveling of the postwar order, including the deepening rift between the U.S. and its European allies, Trump’s aggressive trade policies, and escalating political turmoil in France and Israel. In Geoeconomics, we...
The Markets at the Junction of the Platonic Wheel and Jeffersonian Democracy: Trade, Cycles, and the 200-Day Moving Average, Part I
Wealth creation is the trust outcome of production and exchange. Wealth affects production, sale, and exchange of goods and services, and of course, can advance growth due to higher incomes, spending, and investments. The equity market (as a source of wealth) was due...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global Equities Tumble Global equities declined this week amid more tariff announcements from the Trump administration. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones tumbled 1.53% and 0.96%, respectively, while the Nasdaq decreased 2.59%. The US 10-year...
Geopolitics & the Day After
This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine Europe’s dramatic economic shift with the €800 billion “ReArm Europe” initiative, Turkey’s accelerating autocratization following the arrest of Istanbul’s mayor, the collapse of the Gaza ceasefire, and Russia’s expanding...
The Dollar and Contemporary Market Reflections: An Attempt to Understand Developments Using the Lenses of Henry IV
The main message of this commentary is that the strength of the dollar holds the keys to the future. In 1985, a coordinated intervention to bring down the value of the dollar was sealed in what I consider to be the infamous Plaza Accord. Chairman Paul Volcker once...
Bi-Weekly Market Update
US Equity Markets The S&P 500 temporarily entered correction territory as investors assessed economic risks and the Fed’s response to potential inflation and slowing growth. Growth concerns and increasing recession fears were amplified by comments from President...
Regional Market Watch
European Markets Corporate and Business News Eurozone investor morale improved significantly in March, with the Sentix index rising to -2.9 from -12.7 in February, exceeding expectations of -8.4. European markets closed lower on Friday led by declines in the travel...
Geopolitics & the Day After
This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the growing alignment among China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia—the so-called “axis of upheaval”—and its implications for global security, alongside escalating U.S.-Iran tensions as the JCPOA nears expiration. In...
CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East/North Africa Syria’s government reached a deal with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to integrate the group into the national army, recognizing Kurdish rights and placing the north-east region under government control for the first time since...
CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India
North America The S&P 500 officially entered a correction after plunging 10% in just 16 days, marking the seventh-fastest decline since 1929, with similar rapid selloffs occurring under President Trump in 2018 and 2020. Last week the index fell again,...
