Weekly Selections from Monthly Barometer
5 insightful op-eds or articles to help make sense of today’s world Mark Gilbert, “Sausages, Cats and the ECB” (Bloomberg View, August 8, 2014) In the words of a former governor of the Bank of England, formulating monetary policy at the ECB is like “herding cats”. In...
The Groom Still Waiting at the Altar: The Medium-Term Brightening of the Economic Outlook
Over the course of the last few weeks equity markets has felt shocks, with the German DAX index dropping by more than 10% signifying correction territory. As we explained last week, a combination of consolidation/maturity issues (talk of mini-correction), geopolitical...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Stocks rallied in the U.S. on Friday to squeeze out small gains for the week after having erased YTD gain last Friday. Elsewhere around the globe however the results for the week remain depressing. European markets have compounded weakness demonstrated...
Weekly Selections from Monthly Barometer
5 insightful op-eds or articles to help make sense of today’s world David Bowers, “Treasury Yields – The Only Way is Up” (Financial Times, July 30, 2014 – paywall) The MD of Absolute Strategy Research addresses one of the most important issues for investors and argues...
Altering Expectations: Not Exactly What it Usually Means
The market turmoil last week persuaded some that a major correction is at work that will deflate the financial bubble. We would humbly disagree with that prediction. In our opinion there are five main reasons why the market blinked last week, namely: Uncertainty about...
Weekly Market Update
The Dow has effectively erased its YTD gains as of this week as concerns over the potential for accelerated Fed action for interest rates, the stabilitiy of the European banking system as illustrated by Espirito Santo, the Israeli/Hamas conflict and the technical bond...
A Review of the Most Important Global Events in July by Monthly Barometer
The global economy continues to fall short of expectations. GDP growth in high-income economies remains sluggish, including in the US and the UK - the two countries where the upturn is the strongest. In most emerging markets, output is stumbling, most notably in...
Weekly Selections from Monthly Barometer
5 insightful op-eds or articles to help make sense of today’s world Mohamed El-Erian, “What to Do About the Jobs-Growth Conundrum” (Bloomberg View, July 22, 2014) Allianz’s chief economic adviser looks at one of today’s greatest economic conundrums: why has the US...
Weekly Market Update
US equity markets had a rough week in the last full week of the month. The Dow saw its largest decline in seven weeks after Goldman Sachs issued a late report stating the firm’s neutral position towards stocks for the next three months. While the S&P and Nasdaq...
Weekly Selections from Monthly Barometer
5 insightful op-eds or articles to help make sense of today’s world Robert Shiller, “Booming Until It Hurts” (Project Syndicate, July 15, 2014) The author of “Irrational Exuberance” discusses the concerns among the world’s financial experts and in the media that asset...
