by John E. Charalambakis | Apr 25, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
The S&P 500 as well as the Nasdaq hit record highs on Tuesday. What’s next? Can we answer that question without considering the surrounding context and especially the stage of the credit cycle? Cicero used to say that context shapes decorum and the latter,...
by John E. Charalambakis | Apr 17, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
“China is in deep trouble”; “China is recovering” “All hell is breaking loose with the trade war”; “We are very close to a trade deal” “Brexit on March 29th”; “Brexit is postponed” “Modi’s chances of reelection have been reduced significantly”; “Modi is expected to...
by John E. Charalambakis | Apr 4, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
On March 28, the 10-year Treasury’s yield dropped to 2.34% due to exaggerated fears of an imminent recession. The drop in rates in the first quarter of this year (see graph below) and the inversion of the yield curve has created opportunities in both equities and...
by John E. Charalambakis | Mar 25, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
This Friday, March 29th, was supposed to be the day of Brexit. The earliest possible date for Brexit has now been pushed back to April 12th. Over the course of the next few days as many as seven options may be put to test in the British Parliament, namely: – PM...
by John E. Charalambakis | Mar 20, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
Just after the market closed on Tuesday, Federal Express issued an earnings warning. Specifically, it reported declining international revenue and blamed it on deteriorating macroeconomic conditions and weaker global trade prospects. If Micron Technology too misses...