by John E. Charalambakis | Sep 15, 2020 | Commentaries
We are of the opinion that the output gap in the US by the end of the year will range between 2.5-3.5%. However, for the European Union (EU), we expect the output gap to be higher than that. Such an assessment implies elevated unemployment rates for both the U3 and...
by John E. Charalambakis | Sep 9, 2020 | Commentaries
The most recent Fed’s decision to turn policy on its head and pursue higher inflation targets for the sake of stimulating the economy, reminds us of a grand strategy without tactics, which simply is no strategy. The reason for this is the fact that the Fed has no...
by John E. Charalambakis | Aug 11, 2020 | Commentaries
During the month of July, economic momentum lost ground, as portrayed by the Consumer Sentiment Index shown below. Data related to employment, spending, and mobility also reflected the slow down. Caution is also expressed regarding the next 2-3 months as the flu...
by John E. Charalambakis | Aug 4, 2020 | Commentaries
Sometimes I feel that I have no answers, and as a teacher my role is to question my students’ answers. When unrestricted growth and concentrated power is amassed at the hands of a few players, then the economy may end up stagnating, inequalities may start exploding,...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 28, 2020 | Commentaries
In his sixth section of “Meditations in Time of Civil War”, the famous Nobel laureate Irish poet (and pillar of literature) William Butler Yeats writes: “We had fed the heart on fantasies, the heart’s grown brutal from the fare. More substance in our enmities than in...