Author: John E. Charalambakis

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 29, 2015 |

The Investment Paths of 2016, Part II: From Risks to Opportunities

Much ado about nothing may end up being not just a Shakespeare play but also the reality that will sink in after the Fed starts raising short term rates. All […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 23, 2015 |

Diverging Asymmetries and Market Fragilities: Understanding the Investment Paths of 2016, Part I

Well-respected publications such as The Economist and The Financial Times have recently published extensive reports regarding the threats to the global economy from emerging markets’ debt. The fact is that […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 10, 2015 |

The Tranquility of Volatility: The Risk of the Uncertainty and the Pricing of Assets

It is an indisputable fact that the last ten months have been characterized by high volatility. The market breadth (defined as the number of advancing over declining stocks) has turned […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 25, 2015 |

Shifting Cycles and Portfolio Structures: Hand Me Another Brick to Build a Shelter From the Storm

As previously noted from this page, I believe that we are entering into a period where the forces of market risk, volatility, liquidity, and credit risk encompass a cycle whose […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 14, 2015 |

Financial Distress: Infatuations and Magnificent Illusions

In his 1984 Shareholder Letter, Warren Buffett wrote: “The corpse is supposed to file the death certificate. Under this ‘honor system’ of mortality, the corpse sometimes gives itself the benefit […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 5, 2015 |

The Rolling Pyramid of Historical Financial Crises and the Moral Economic Imperatives: Distinguishing Causes from Symptoms

The Rolling Pyramid of Historical Financial Crises and the Moral Economic Imperatives: Distinguishing Causes from Symptoms We have noted in past commentaries that our global financial system moves from crisis […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 28, 2015 |

On the Disruption of the Disruptors: The Redrafting of a New Chapter in Global Developments

In the art of war (in the general spirit of geopolitical and geoeconomic diplomacy) the opponent’s greatest strength happens to be his greatest weakness. Let’s take a look at a […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2015 |

Spreads and the Business Cycle: Opportunities and Risks

The Fed decided earlier today to postpone the increase in short term rates citing global growth and disinflationary concerns. We believe that such concerns are overstated, at least for developed […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 9, 2015 |

Market Gyrations and Expectations: The Net Debt Perspective

As we noted in our last commentary (http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/3181), we anticipate some volatility during the next few weeks, but we also expect it to subside and for the market to find […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 30, 2015 |

Financial Stress and Expectations: The Story of Developed Markets through the Eyes of Emerging Market Realities

As we reported in our Weekly Market Update over the weekend (http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/BFG-Weekly-Brief-August-29-2015.pdf), the US and the EU equity markets experienced one of their most volatile weeks. Over the course of […]