Market Outlook: Demand-Side and Supply-Chain Risks
The Coronavirus is spreading beyond China and that shook the markets both last Friday and even more so yesterday to the point that equity indexes are down for the year. On the other hand, long-term Treasuries and gold continue performing very well. Both of them are up...Debt, Aristotle, and the Fed: A Virtuous Vice?
There is little doubt that the accommodative/expansionary monetary policy of the last 10+ years has been chasing investors and funds out the risk curve but also down the quality ladder. The voracious issuance of corporate debt has been encouraged by a dovish Fed,...Growth-Value Divergence and Other Obscurities
The coronavirus has been credited with causing recent market volatility. In a single day last week, the gains made in January were wiped out, while this week the market gains erased all of last week losses. Could it be that the market is searching for direction and...Global Trade, PMIs, Transformation, and Market Implications: When Lincoln Read Whitman’s Poetry
The latest figures on global trade portray a picture of contraction. Have we entered into a period of deglobalization? The figures tell us a story of the longest period of contraction since the crisis more than ten years ago. Six consecutive months of year-on-year...Sign Up for Our Publications
