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Anchoring Optimism in an Era of Anxiety: Reflections on Debt & Financial Stability

by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 21, 2011 | Commentaries

As an opening statement allow us to paraphrase David Liss’ claim in his novel A Conspiracy of Paper, where he claims that finance is an animal, and the government needs to decide how big the cage should be. In a few days we will be entering August. The memories of...

An Italian Twist in the Eurozone Crisis: Ave Europa Nostra Vera Patria

by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 11, 2011 | Commentaries

The old anthem of imperial Europe cried out, “Hail, Europe, our true Fatherland”, and Italy nowadays enters its own phase of the Eurozone crisis. Italian bonds’ spreads over Germany’s Bunds have risen to their highest levels since 2002, as the following graph shows....

On Risks, Currencies, and Asset Classes: Mispricing, Imbalances, and Credit Extensions

by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 5, 2011 | Commentaries

As of yesterday (July 4th), it seems that the European debt crisis is entering into a new phase, with the expected new downgrades of Greek paper by the major rating agencies, which warned that “selective default” is at hand, due to the terms of the rescue package...

Market Turmoil: Signs of Tremors and Nuggets of Gold

by John E. Charalambakis | Jun 17, 2011 | Commentaries

The storm we have been writing about in the last three weeks seems to be gaining speed. The Greek debt crisis can open Pandora’s box and unleash sovereign debt, banking, bond, and equities turmoil, generating the third phase of the crisis we wrote before (see e.g. the...

On Glorious Co-determination: Potential Scenarios in the Midst of Debt Concerns

by John E. Charalambakis | Jun 12, 2011 | Commentaries

The war of words was in high gear this past week. German officials demanded participation of the private sector in a new Greek bailout package that is estimated to be around $130 billion, i.e. about 40% of the Greek GDP. If that happens, then Greece will have borrowed...
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