Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 19, 2018 |

Leverage, Valuations, and Earnings: Algorithmic Complexities, Monetary Gamesmanship, and Capital Protection

This year’s market gyrations should be viewed under the microscope of leverage. When we do that as the first figure shows below, then we can possibly start comprehending that in […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 5, 2018 |

Is the Market Turning? Fundamental Changes and Cross-Determination

In this week’s commentary, we would like to discuss our perspective for the short-term based on some changes we have been observing in the market. However, before we show this […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 21, 2018 |

Rotation Strategies: Earnings Prospects and Fed’s Tightening Cycle

During times of accommodative monetary policies when rates drop and earnings prospects shine, growth stocks usually outperform value stocks. In a basic valuation model of discounting future earnings (especially for […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 7, 2018 |

American Leadership and Global Insecurity: Market Assessment

In security conferences around the world, speakers have been describing the rising threats and the rising level of insecurity, while at the same time wondering where the American leadership has […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 1, 2018 |

Corporate Bonds, Excess Cash, and Market Yields: Is there an Equities Link?

In the recent market turmoil, corporate bonds seemed able to sustain their values. Could we assume that in a future market turmoil they will continue showing signs of immunity? Last […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 14, 2018 |

Usual Suspects and Unusual Narratives: Markets Search for Direction but Natura No Facit Saltus

Should we always buy the dip? The strategy has worked over a number of years. Is this time different? The blame over the recent market turmoil has identified some usual […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 8, 2018 |

Market Turmoil, Portfolios and Commodities: Time to Diversify, Part I

As a starting point allow me please to summarize what we communicated to our clients during the recent market turmoil. First, let’s review what we perceive are the main causes […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 3, 2018 |

Tech Earnings, Gold Performance, and Bond Jitters: The Dollar Link

It seems that we may be in for another tech-earnings party today. As these lines are being drafted, Microsoft and Facebook are expected to report rising profits and anticipation is […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 25, 2018 |

Dollar Weakness and Economic Developments: What are the Implications and Where Might it be Headed?

At the beginning of 2017, it cost $1.06 (USD) to buy one euro. As of today, $1.235 is needed to buy the same euro. Does that reflect US economic weakness […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 10, 2018 |

Foreseeable Economic Prospects and Equity Markets: Sizing up the New Year

As a starting point, let’s briefly review a few of the forces that are shaping up equities in a positive trajectory during at least the first few months of 2018. […]