by John E. Charalambakis | Aug 3, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
We have written before that the financial stress index produced by the St. Louis Fed is a very reliable indicator regarding potential dark clouds in the economic and financial horizons. As can be seen in the graph below (updated as of the end of July), the index...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 27, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
In the last few commentaries we have noted that while equity markets may be stretched, there might still be room to grow given the current macro-circumstances, corporate earnings, and business sentiment. In this week’s commentary we would let some graphs do the...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 20, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
As many analysts have pointed out lately, the equity markets at the current levels are stretched, but probably not over-stretched. Global equity correlations have been falling this year (from their high of 77% in 2009 to around 39% in 2017), providing some...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 13, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
There is almost no doubt that the extraordinary measures taken by the central banks around the world over the last several years uplifted equities, lowered cost of capital, increased corporate prospects and in general created a market upswing at a time when global...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jul 6, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
According to most valuation metrics, European stocks trade at a discount relative to those in the US. Consequently, fund managers are on a shopping spree for EU-based equities. As a result the Euro has been strengthening against the dollar. Certainly, the...
by John E. Charalambakis | Jun 28, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
In the last few weeks two developments – related to key issues for the health of the global economy – have been unfolding. The first deals with European banks, and the second with the trajectory of oil prices. Last month two major Spanish banks (Santander and Intensa...