Earnings, Valuations, and Equity Markets
Looking back to 2019, we don’t think that it would be a stretch to claim that lower rates and the dovish approach by the Fed lifted up valuations and played a very significant role in the spectacular rise in equities (not that debt markets did not also perform well)....The Rising Turmoil in the Middle East and the Implications for Portfolio Hedging
There is no doubt that the death of Qassem Soleimani may become a stepping-stone for rising violence, turmoil, volatility, risks, and even a new war in a troubled region of the world. The uncertainty that it generates is exacerbated by the possibility that Russia or...On the Dialectic Morals of Statecraft: A Conversation with Johannes Bredenburg, Spinoza, Corrie Ten Boom, Amartya Sen, and Sir John Templeton.
In the boarding area I could clearly see three distinct figures: Johannes Bredenburg, Sir John Templeton, and Spinoza. I knew that I was destined for another treat in this end-of-year flight and I was hoping that more distinguished guests would join the journey. We...Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part II
In last week’s commentary, we outlined our overall assessment of a decent start for 2020, but expressed our skepticism for the rest of the year (see Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part I ). The upbeat perspective of most of the analysts for 2020 is based on loose...Assessing the 2020 Outlook: Part I
We started assessing the outlook for 2020 a few weeks ago. The truth of the matter is that we are facing two almost equally probable scenarios: The first one (adopted by the great majority of analysts) says that growth will continue next year and that the equity...Sign Up for Our Publications
