Avoiding a Prato Day in the Markets: The Day Machiavelli Comprehended Aristotle’s Notion of the One, the Few, and the Many
Machiavelli stood in one of the corners of the famous square convinced that nothing fails like success. The calendar read May 23, 1498. Outside Florence’s city hall – the famous Palazzo della Signiora – a long scaffold had been built. A great throng of people had...Some (More) Thoughts About Inflation
There haven’t been many macroeconomic topics on top of investors, economists, and analysts’ minds in 2021 than inflation. After more than a decade of minimal inflation documented within the CPI and PCE indices commentary about rising prices was revived, even if most...Economic & Market Outlook, Mid-Year 2021
John E. Charalambakis, Mohamed Ramzi Roshdi, Nicolas Abdelhak, & Eleni Buss As we look ahead towards assessing the markets’ outlook for the remainder of 2021, we have split our analysis into sections as discussed below. We begin with an overall macroeconomic...On the Fear Gauge, Germany’s Lamentation, and Chinese Celebrations
A survey conducted by Bank of America among over 200 fund managers revealed that the grand majority of them significantly trimmed their bond holdings. The reasoning behind such trimming is the expectation that the Fed will itself trim its program of bond purchases. In...On Rates, Monetary Policy, and Valuations: Is it Worth it to Take a Closer Look at Additional European Portfolio Exposure?
More than two weeks ago (on Friday June 4th), we sent an email message to our clients explaining that some metrics and trends make us uncomfortable. Furthermore, we discussed that some trailing stops were initiated. We do not believe that the fundamentals face major...Sign Up for Our Publications
