Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks globally were down sharply for the second week in a row, and stock market volatility has returned with large daily market swings; this week the CBOE Volatility Index (the VIX) reached its highest level since China’s currency crisis in 2015. The...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks recorded their first weekly loss of 2018. The S&P 500 Index suffered its worst weekly drop in two years. Rising yields and inflationary fears are cited as main culprits; however, valuation and political fears should not be discounted as...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks continued their winning streak, with the major indexes notching their fourth consecutive weekly gain and moving to new record highs. The British pound rallied above 1.40 against the US dollar for the first time since the Brexit vote. The dollar...

CROSSROADS

This monthly briefing will keep you up-to-date on the major geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of the time, allowing you to identify potential risks and strategize accordingly. It will cover topics from each corner of the globe, analyzing the major geopolitical...

Weekly Market Update

by Andy Quirk   Market Action The U.S. Federal Government officially shut down in the early hours of Saturday as Democrats blocked a stopgap spending measure, allowing government funding to expire. The funding dispute is largely over funding for the Deferred...

Sector Focus: Shipping

The transportation sector can be divided into regional transportation (train, road, and airplane) and global transportation which is largely comprised of maritime shipping. Although this division is not very precise it provides valuable insights because global...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The Euro rose to a three-year high versus the dollar on Friday after German party leaders reached a breakthrough in talks to form a "grand coalition" and minutes from the ECB’s mid-December meeting signaled the ECB could slow its stimulus program in...

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