Publications

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: February 14, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Global markets posted another wild week even though Chinese markets were closed due to the New Year. Volatility out of Japan and Honk Kong and the poor performance […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 9, 2016 |

The Banking Sector, Collateral Velocity, and Credit Creation, Part I: Where are we Headed?

Modern finance depends on credit. Credit creation depends on inter-bank trust. Inter-bank trust depends on asset valuation. Asset valuation is an opaque process that is a function of several parameters […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: February 6, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Markets continued their poor start to 2016 with another down week. Technology and Biotech names were sold off especially hard due to a combination of poor earnings from […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 2, 2016 |

Market Hysteresis and Capitulation: Financial Stress and Secular Trends

It takes some time for the market to comprehend when stress is built up in the economic and financial systems. This is part of the hysteresis reality. When financial stress […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: February 1, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

The global economy is about to enter its “third dip” (after the subprime and the Eurozone crises). The IMF just revised downwards its 2016 forecast for global growth to 3.4% […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: January 29, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Markets finally posted a positive week in the U.S. thanks to a combination of some promising earnings reports and global central banks maintaining easy policies. While stocks posted […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 25, 2016 |

Operation Market Garden: Can it Happen Again? (This time in the financial world)

Following the successful Normandy invasion in June 1944, the Allies executed that September the military operation known as Market Garden (Market referred to the airborne forces that were supposed to […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: January 22, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action Several major global markets netted gains thanks to a rally by the end of the week. Equities followed Mario Draghi’s lead after the ECB President hinted at more […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 19, 2016 |

Is a Secular Bear Knocking at Market’s Door? The Escalator of Spending

We are crossing correction territory (a drop of more than 10%) for some equity markets in developed countries around the world. This has brought questions about the possibility of a […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: January 15, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

 Market Action The second trading week of the year was again unkind to stocks around the globe. A number of catalysts have been thrown out in the press from China […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 11, 2016 |

Market Sentiment and Residual Confusions: On the Finite Unpredictability of Uncertain Outcomes

Yesterday, the South African Rand lost 10% of its value. The South African economy is viewed as unstable due to its domestic politics (the President changed the Minister of Finance […]