Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities made gains this week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 4.59% and 6.73%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 2.48% on the week. The U.S. 10-year Treasury note dropped back down to 4.24%, while the price of West Texas Intermediate...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks moved lower on the week as volatility remained elevated. Last Friday marked the nine-year anniversary of the current bull market for U.S. stocks, which have logged more than 108 months without posting a decline of 20% that marks a retreat into...

Sector Focus: Financials

The financial sector is vast; we can only give a high-level overview. We will cover US equity markets, international bonds, US market managers, world equities markets, derivatives markets, banks, and insurance companies. At the end of this piece, we will comment on...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action President Trump signed an executive order imposing tough tariffs on imported steel and aluminium. This decision has been met with resistance by many within the Republican party as well as foreign governments, including some of America's closest allies....

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Markets declined broadly last week, marking the first monthly loss for the U.S. stock market since October 2016. Volatility remained high with four of the five trading days during the week exceeding a 1% move. US president Donald Trump said Thursday that...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Stocks were up modestly for the week, breaking the recent trend of sharp swings which produced the worst week in two years and the best week in five years in succession. The dust has appeared to settle a bit, but volatility is likely to persist as...

CROSSROADS

Here are the biggest issues to watch around the globe over the coming month: The Russia Investigation The investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election is heating up, with Special Counsel Robert Mueller issuing 13 indictments against Russian people...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action After falling into correction last week, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are both up 4% and are on track for the biggest weekly percentage increase since November 2016. The Nasdaq is also up by over 5% - its biggest week since...

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