Weekly Market Update
Market Action By noon on Friday, global equities had recovered some of the sharp losses recorded on Monday. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 1.70% from 1.86% last week. In Europe, bond yields fell to record lows. In the United Kingdom, yields fell to...
The Compounding of Risks: Trade Wars in the Midst of Cheapening Currencies
The risks of an economic slowdown is compounded by trade war rhetoric, a Brexit without a deal, the reduction of short-term rates (Asian central banks lowered their rates in the last couple of days) and the talk about ECB’s new round of monetary stimulus, the...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities were lower on the week in reaction to escalating US–China trade tensions. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note tumbled 21 basis points to 1.87% while the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 60 cents to $55.70....
Crossroads: At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here are some critical issues to watch around the globe over the coming month: North America Trade talks between the US and China have resumed this week in Shanghai. The expectations for this round of negotiations are low as the 2020 US elections loom in the...
Center for Financial Stability Roundtable Presentation
The Center for Financial Stability (CFS) recently hosted a roundtable discussion on European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy with Philipp Hartmann. Philipp is Deputy Director General for research at the ECB and one of the founders of its research department....
Weekly Market Update
Market Action The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 closed the week at record highs as strong earnings and healthy growth in gross domestic product buoyed stocks across the board. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose slightly to 2.08% from 2.06% last...
Deglobalization and Disruption Meets Deconstruction: Isaiah Berlin and the Crooked Timber of Trading
Danny Rodrick might have been right after all when he argued in his 1997 book (titled Has Globalization Gone Too Far?) that we should be careful how far we are pushing the boundaries of globalization. Globalization inevitably gave rise to some tensions and facts, such...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities saw little change this week, but the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note dropped 8 basis points to 2.05%. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell almost $5 to $55. 60 while volatility rose from 12.7 to 13.3, as...
Xenophon’s Oeconomicus Meets the Rabbits that Got the Guns
In last week’s commentary, we discussed some perspectives of gathering clouds over the short-term horizon (6-10 months). We expressed the opinion that caution is warranted regarding new market highs given that small caps do not follow the rally, and most importantly...
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities were firmer on the week as major US indices reached record highs, with both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average marking new milestones above 3,000 and 27,000, respectively. The yield on the US 10-year note rose 18...