Publications

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 30, 2016 |

Market Action Energy shares led the market this week, rising over 4% thanks to news that OPEC agreed to broad principles of a production cut. The cartel will target a […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 30, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

September 2016   More and more, decision-makers and market participants are coming to the realization that ultra-low interest rates reflect profound structural issues – most notably global ageing, falling productivity rates and rising inequalities […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 27, 2016 |

The Markets and the Search for a Refiner’s Fire: Staring in the Mirror

In chapter 19 of the Odyssey, Homer writes about Penelope’s encounter with a mysterious guest. “Falsehoods all, but he gave his falsehoods all the ring of truth. As she listened […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 25, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Another FOMC meeting and another pass on a rate hike as the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged and lowered its forecast for future interest rates. Stocks rallied even […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Markets recovered some of their losses from last week as the Nasdaq approaches an all-time high thanks to Apple’s resurgence in the midst of iPhone 7 demand. Median […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 13, 2016 |

Enlightenment in the Era of Central Banking: Fearing the Normal or Normalizing Fear?

The flowering of the Enlightenment across Europe in the 17th and 18th centuries took place when a diverse group of thinkers questioned perceived opinion. The names of Descartes, Spinoza, Locke, […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 10, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Volatility returned to the markets in a big way with the VIX rising 40% and giving stocks their worst day since the Brexit vote. Among the factors being […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 6, 2016 |

Masquerading Risks and Positioning Portfolios for Growth: The Centrally-Induced Fat Tails

The markets have been used to central banks actions that mitigate downturns (the famous/infamous puts that take the names of central bankers such as the Greenspan and Bernanke puts). Such […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 4, 2016 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in July, below expectations, and wage gains were modest. In light of recent chatter by Fed officials on the timing of rate […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: September 1, 2016 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

August 2016 If we had to capture the mood at Jackson Hole (the meeting of central bankers) with just one word, it would be: anxiety. Despite participants putting on a brave face, there […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 29, 2016 |

Financial Stress, Valuations, and Realignment Risks: Is Uncertainty Looming?

The external debt of developing economies has more than tripled in the last ten years. Brazil of all countries is selling notes to yield-hungry investors that mature in 2047! Where […]