Publications

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 19, 2017 |

Financial Stability and Business Cycle: Cicero on Risk Migration, Exogenous Shocks, and the Twin Engines

Resilient and liquid financial markets are essential to keeping the global economy going. A decade ago payments systems and capital markets seized up almost everywhere and a year later the […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: October 15, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The MSCI World benchmark of large and mid-cap stocks reached a new all-time high on Wednesday amid gains in most Asian and European markets. Japan’s Nikkei advanced to […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 12, 2017 |

Growth Forecasts and Policy Uncertainty: Implications for Portfolio Adjustments

A few days ago the IMF published its annual forecasts for developed and emerging economies. Five things are worth pointing out: First, when we review forecasts made for previous years […]

By: Ken Rietz | On: October 9, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Movement regarding the U.S. budget and tax reform helped propel the S&P 500 to an unusual 8 consecutive days of new high closings. On Friday, when the U.S. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 5, 2017 |

Market Valuations and Devolution: Mythos, Madness, or an Allegory?

Over the course of the last few days, some important pieces were published on the valuation of equities and bonds. At the same time we observed independent referendums taking place […]

By: Thierry Malleret | On: October 3, 2017 |

Monthly Barometer’s Forward-Looking Monthly Review: An Interdisciplinary View of our Complex Global Economy

September 2017   There are no imminent signs that the global economic recovery is about to end. It is in fact accelerating: global growth should amount to 3.5% this year […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: October 1, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Spanish authorities have confiscated millions of voting papers in Catalonia and stationed additional police in the region ahead of Sunday’s independence referendum, with the vote declared illegal by […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 28, 2017 |

Market Implications of Forthcoming Central Banks’ Changing Policies: Liquidity & Recessionary Considerations

According to the Fed’s recent announcement, the US central bank will start shrinking its balance sheet shortly, while we are expecting it to raise short-term rates in December. At the […]

By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 24, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Major stock indexes rose to records earlier this week, then decreased—closing mostly flat or slightly down for the week—while treasury yields increased, as global tension came back into […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 21, 2017 |

Why Have We Been Switching the Headlines? War Games and the US Dollar

Throughout the ages, war has been the engine of finance. The collusion between Russia and China in the last few weeks and months in order to bypass the US dollar […]

By: Joel Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2017 |

Weekly Market Update

Market Action U.S. stocks rose to weekly gains in a stretch that included four straight records for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The S&P 500, Dow industrials and Nasdaq Composite […]