Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equities were little changed on the week while the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose 6 basis points to 1.60% from a week ago. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil declined $1.50 to $53.65 while volatility, as...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equities closed down after a volatile week as trade friction and slowing global growth sent bond yields lower. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note declined to 1.54% from 1.70% a week ago. Oil prices were little changed, with a barrel of West...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action By noon on Friday, global equities had recovered some of the sharp losses recorded on Monday. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 1.70% from 1.86% last week. In Europe, bond yields fell to record lows. In the United Kingdom, yields fell to...

Weekly Market Update

Market Action Global equities were lower on the week in reaction to escalating US–China trade tensions. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note tumbled 21 basis points to 1.87% while the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 60 cents to $55.70....

Weekly Market Update

Market Action The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 closed the week at record highs as strong earnings and healthy growth in gross domestic product buoyed stocks across the board. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose slightly to 2.08% from 2.06% last...

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