Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities hit record highs This week, global equities rose to new highs. The S&P 500 Index is near to the end of its best-performing month of August since 1986. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose to 0.72% after the Fed's big...

Covid-19 and the Day After

Time for Action on America’s Darwinian Debt Struggle Robin Wigglesworth, Financial Times Read the full article here Since March, the Fed has unleashed a dizzying display of relief measures aimed at mitigating the economic impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. These...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global rise despite Fed's warnings Global equities rose slightly from last week even amid comments from the Federal Reserve that Covid-19 will continue to weigh heavily on economic activity in the near-term and poses considerable risks to the...

Covid-19 and the Day After

“We Will Never Again See the World That We Left Behind One Month Ago” Stéphane Audoin Rouzeau, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs Read the full article here Both the Great War and the possibility of a pandemic (however near or far in the future) had been...

Value and Renewal

“My own thinking has changed drastically from 35 years ago when I was taught to favor tangible assets and to shun businesses whose value depended largely upon economic Goodwill.  This bias caused me to make many important business mistakes of omission”...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities inch forward Global equities made slight gains this week. The S&P 500 fell just shy of nearing record territory, shrugging off US-China tensions and Congress’ relief package squabbles. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury jumped...

Covid-19 and the Day After

3 Potential 2020 Election Outcomes — and What They Could Mean for Investors Lisa Beilfuss, Barron'sRead the full article here Currently, voter polls are predicting that former Vice President Joe Biden will be the next president of the US. However, anything could...

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