Publications
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: October 5, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities declined this past week amid signs of slowing US growth. The outlook for slower growth also pushed down the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note […]
By: Rachel Poole | On: October 2, 2019 |
Crossroads: At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America The […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 28, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities were modestly lower on the week, while the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note declined 9 basis points to 1.69%. The price of a barrel […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 26, 2019 |
The Mispricing of Assets, the Repricing of Expectations, and the Incineration of Reason: Investment Strategy in the Valley of the Missing Link
What do the US and UK political developments as well as the stock market valuation have to do with the Peloponnesian War fought between Athens and Sparta (431-404 BCE)? In […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 21, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities closed higher on the week while the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note declined 8 basis points to 1.78% and the price of a barrel […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 19, 2019 |
Short-Term Borrowing Crunch: An Aberration or a Signal of Trouble?
In the course of the last couple of days the Fed has been injecting significant amounts of liquidity (to the tune of $75 billion per day) into the financial system. […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 14, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities rose on the week while interest rates moved up sharply. Easing recession fears and hopes for progress in US-China and Brexit talks helped boost investor sentiment. […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 12, 2019 |
A Few Random Thoughts on Economic Structural Integrity: Global Order Meets Finance
The story of humankind has been a long tale of war, tyranny, misery, conflict, and illiberalism. To that extent the recent decades of relative peace and prosperity, along with the […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 7, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities rose last week as part of a risk-on rally in asset prices due to a slightly brighter outlook for US-China trade talks, receding risks of an […]
By: Rachel Poole | On: September 3, 2019 |
Crossroads: At the intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here are some critical issues to watch around the globe over the coming month: North America At the start of the month, the United States (US) announced sanctions on […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 8, 2019 |
False Positive Signals Meet Immanuel Kant: Recessionary Indications & Portfolio Considerations
Composite models that assess the risk of a recession in the next 12 months indicate that the probability of a recession happening in the next 12 months has fallen slightly. […]