Publications
By: Rachel Poole | On: October 31, 2019 |
Crossroads: At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America On […]
By: Rachel Poole | On: October 26, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action This week saw only marginal global equity gains as there were mixed third-quarter earnings results and rather dull Brexit news. As measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange […]
By: Rachel Poole | On: October 19, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equity markets boosted slightly after a strong start to the third-quarter earnings season which has been offset somewhat by slow developments in global trade talks and Brexit […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 16, 2019 |
Deteriorating Economic Sentiment: Down the Path of Guicciardini’s Maxims
Yesterday the IMF downgraded its projections for economic growth. In its announcement it warned that such action is the result of self-inflicted wounds created by a “precarious” trade war. At […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 11, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equity markets were buoyed late in the week by hopes for a truce in the US–China trade war and optimism that a Brexit deal might be reached […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 8, 2019 |
False Positive Signals Meet Immanuel Kant: Recessionary Indications & Portfolio Considerations
Composite models that assess the risk of a recession in the next 12 months indicate that the probability of a recession happening in the next 12 months has fallen slightly. […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: October 5, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities declined this past week amid signs of slowing US growth. The outlook for slower growth also pushed down the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note […]
By: Rachel Poole | On: October 2, 2019 |
Crossroads: At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America The […]
By: Laura Hochstetler | On: September 28, 2019 |
Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities were modestly lower on the week, while the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note declined 9 basis points to 1.69%. The price of a barrel […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 26, 2019 |
The Mispricing of Assets, the Repricing of Expectations, and the Incineration of Reason: Investment Strategy in the Valley of the Missing Link
What do the US and UK political developments as well as the stock market valuation have to do with the Peloponnesian War fought between Athens and Sparta (431-404 BCE)? In […]
By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 23, 2019 |
Shifting Risks and Unintended Consequences for Portfolios: We Live in a Zero-Sum World
We are now under the auspices of a zero-sum game world due to negligible productivity growth rate. Such a shift can be seen as a symptom of trade wars. We […]