Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities rallyGlobal equities rallied this week after sustaining losses last week. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones were up 2.64% and 4.07% respectively. A tech rally brought the Nasdaq up 3.09% on the week, but the Nasdaq is almost flat for the...

Covid-19 and the Day After

Here is our take on the articles summarized below:  The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted many sectors of the global economy in both good ways and bad. Our summaries today focus on the developments in the technology and shipping industries as they have reacted and...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities drop as bond yields rise Global equities continued falling this week as bond yields ticked up. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones made up losses incurred earlier in the week, ending 0.81% and 1.82% up respectively. On the other hand, the...

Covid-19 and the Day After

Here is our take on the articles summarized below:  One recurrent theme of the coronavirus pandemic is its tendency to expose the subsurface workings of our world. For this week’s summaries, we examine several of these undercurrents and the ways the pandemic has...

When Moore Isn’t Enough: Part I

It seems like every day there’s a new story discussing the global shortage in semiconductors/chips, affecting everything from smartphones, to computers, to data centers and medical devices (examples here, here, here, and here). Perhaps no industry better serves as the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities pause rallyGlobal equities lost some ground this week, as the rally seen over the last couple of weeks paused. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 1.34% (which represents a significant increase since the beginning of...

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