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Foreseeable Economic Prospects and Equity Markets: Sizing up the New Year

by John E. Charalambakis | Jan 10, 2018 | Commentaries

As a starting point, let’s briefly review a few of the forces that are shaping up equities in a positive trajectory during at least the first few months of 2018. Growth has been picking up pace globally – the much celebrated synchronized recovery – and...

Sublime Madness Meets the Graveyards of Certainty: A Conversation Among Handel, Berkley, Shakespeare, and Bonhoeffer

by John E. Charalambakis | Dec 28, 2017 | Commentaries

I boarded my end-of-year flight from Cincinnati to Paris, excited of whom I would meet this year, and as I was boarding I heard a deep voice stating: “You have posed the wrong question, provided the wrong argument, and therefore reached an irrelevant conclusion....

Banks and Financial Stability: A Uniquely Transformational Story

by John E. Charalambakis | Dec 11, 2017 | Commentaries

In the last few days, we had three pretty interesting developments related to the banking sector around the globe: EU developments, Basel 3, and an IMF report regarding China’s banks. In the EU, important steps were taken preparing for a Banking Union that will close...

Monetary Trends and 2018 Outlook: Searching for Value

by John E. Charalambakis | Nov 30, 2017 | Commentaries

The recent data on M3 (a broader definition of money supply that includes money market funds and large time deposits) show that its growth has been 6.5% (year-on-year) and actually stands at a three-year high (see graph below). How could that be explained and how...

Valuation Fatigue and Credit Outlook: An Initial Assessment of 2018

by John E. Charalambakis | Nov 22, 2017 | Commentaries

Given the fundamental trends, we expect global growth to remain healthy in 2018, and therefore we also expect that the credit risk appetite will also remain healthy in 2018. Having said that, we should also state that we expect some tightening in the spreads between...
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