Author: John E. Charalambakis

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 18, 2016 |

Credit Impulse and Currency Outlook: Kafka’s Clamence Ponders on Currencies’ Trajectory

This year marks the 60th anniversary since Kafka published his least understood philosophical novel titled “The Fall”. The novel is a series of monologues by its main character (Clamence). Clamence’s […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 8, 2016 |

Hyperkinesis and Financial Ecology: The EU and a Lesson from the Kudzu Weed

The markets seem to be suffering from hyperkinetic activity generated from too much kudzu collateralization, securitization, credit overextension, and central banking intervention. This has resulted  in impulsivity across credit markets […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 2, 2016 |

Complacency, Deflationary Bulls, and Inflationary Bears: Japanification in an Era when the Enemy of my Enemy is Still my Enemy

Lack of foresight is not a tactical mistake. It is a dangerous strategic error whose price is paid mainly by innocents over a long period of time. In April 1917, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 27, 2016 |

The Markets and the Search for a Refiner’s Fire: Staring in the Mirror

In chapter 19 of the Odyssey, Homer writes about Penelope’s encounter with a mysterious guest. “Falsehoods all, but he gave his falsehoods all the ring of truth. As she listened […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 13, 2016 |

Enlightenment in the Era of Central Banking: Fearing the Normal or Normalizing Fear?

The flowering of the Enlightenment across Europe in the 17th and 18th centuries took place when a diverse group of thinkers questioned perceived opinion. The names of Descartes, Spinoza, Locke, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 6, 2016 |

Masquerading Risks and Positioning Portfolios for Growth: The Centrally-Induced Fat Tails

The markets have been used to central banks actions that mitigate downturns (the famous/infamous puts that take the names of central bankers such as the Greenspan and Bernanke puts). Such […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 29, 2016 |

Financial Stress, Valuations, and Realignment Risks: Is Uncertainty Looming?

The external debt of developing economies has more than tripled in the last ten years. Brazil of all countries is selling notes to yield-hungry investors that mature in 2047! Where […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 18, 2016 |

Reconciling Market Signals

In last week’s commentary we pointed out that the accumulation of debt by corporations may be behind the market upswing (through shares buyback programs while the fundamentals do not support […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 12, 2016 |

Credit Markets and the Financial Bloodline: The Oxymoron of an Upswing

Corporate debt is at record high. Net equity issuance has been negative for the last few years. The shares buyback pattern is simply staggering. The fact that almost 70% of […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 4, 2016 |

Dancing Around the Banquet of Stagnation: Seeking Market Catalysts

The extraordinary global increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio requires a growth rate of at least 4% in order for the debt to be sustainable. The unfortunate thing is that such […]