Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 1, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part XII

The mark of a true statesman (really, of any leader) is magnanimity combined with moderation, justice, courage, foresight, prudence, a genuine concern for the public good, and temperance. Which of these features should be […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 21, 2022 |

Uncertainty in the Garden of Nemesis: Markets, Archimedes’ Circles, and Hegelian Opera

The year was 212 BCE. Archimedes was contemplating, and as he turned over his shoulder, he saw a legionnaire Roman ready to end his life. “Do not disturb my circles,” he shouted. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 14, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part XI

First a quick reminder about statistical errors: Type I error implies the rejection of a hypothesis that is true. Example: Nowadays, Google is a cheap stock. If the hypothesis is […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 7, 2022 |

When the Streams and Rivers of History Meet the Ocean of Changes: Market Reflections

With little doubt, we are at a historical inflection point from a geopolitical and geoeconomic perspective. The influence of Russia is shrinking (especially in the energy sector), Erdogan in Turkey […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 19, 2022 |

Downturn: Monetary Regimes, Disintermediation, and Financial Markets

Many commentators have been discussing lately the similarities between the 1970s and the inflationary pressures of today. Others have expanded their analysis by incorporating stagflationary issues into their comments. We […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 9, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part X

Thursday, May 5th was quite brutal for both stocks and bonds. The Nasdaq dropped by 5% while the S&P 500 lost 3.6%. Of course, that was after Wednesday’s unexpected rally. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: May 2, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part IX

We all know it by now. The Nasdaq lost 13% just in the month of April and is down more than 21% since the start of the year. As for […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 26, 2022 |

Baffling Landscapes: Declining Markets, Ockham Razor’s, Putin, and Verdi’s Spy

Baffling Landscape One: By the time Grosseteste died in 1253, Oxford had become the Aristotelian stronghold. Two Franciscans who followed him pushed knowledge to new intellectual heights that not even Thomas […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 25, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part VIII

There are four issues that we would like to address in the current edition of this special series that we started on February 14th. Where should we park cash to […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: April 18, 2022 |

Canceling the Noise; Not by Bread Alone Part VII

In the current edition of this commentary, we would like to focus on three evolving headwinds that sustain our skepticism about economic and market trajectories, namely: Trade flows, developing countries’ […]