Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 8, 2011 |

On Hotspots, Part IV: The Geopolitics of Pakistan

Since our last post covering global hot spots, the protest movements throughout the Middle East have only continued and picked up in intensity. Oman, Saudi Arabia (BTW for how long […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: March 2, 2011 |

A Treacherous Rebalancing Act: A Currency View

Bob Dylan’s song “The times they ‘re a changing”, fits pretty well in today’s global picture. The landscape is changing indeed. Where should we start? In the Arab world? In […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 21, 2011 |

Birth Pains: Petrostates, Oil Prices, and the Emerging Middle East Landscape

Over the weekend the headline news was about the continuing turmoil in Arab countries. The reports state that over 200 people are dead in Libya, after the “firing on civilians” […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 14, 2011 |

On Hotspots Part III: Turkey and its Role in the Changing Middle East Landscape

Turkey has become a critical pole in the future hierarchy of global political and economic influence. The recent turmoil in the Middle East seems to be a prime opportunity for […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 7, 2011 |

On Exchange & Interest Rates: Liquidity Concerns in the Midst of Unrest and the Construction of the New Silk Road

On August 9th of last year, we published on this website a commentary on what amounted to be a prelude to our September newsletter, regarding the Chinese bubble. A few […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 1, 2011 |

From Tunisia and Egypt to the Rest of the Middle East: Are we Re-living the Historic Days of Regime Change?

For the second part of our series on global hot spots, it should be pretty obvious where the news waves would have us cover: the Middle East, which might be […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 26, 2011 |

European Debt Scenarios and Prospects for Growth

A few weeks ago we wrote that we are optimistic that another deep crisis will be avoided and that the Euro will survive. Recent developments and scenarios are unfolding that […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 17, 2011 |

On Hotspots and their Place in the Emerging and Frontier World: Part I, the Cases of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan

We’ve mentioned on several occasions in previous newsletters and commentaries our positive growth outlook for numerous emerging economies in the near future and the growing interconnectedness among them. This isn’t […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 5, 2011 |

The Mark of Debt: Hysteresis in Municipal Bonds in the Saga of Bubbles

We have written briefly before (July 2010 commentary) on the dangers of the municipal bond market. In this commentary we make the claim that the housing sector leaves a mark of hysteresis […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 3, 2011 |

A WATERSHED MOMENT FOR INVESTORS

Yesterday we ran performance reports for our portfolios1.  Our composite return across all portfolios was 18.11%.  For comparison, our aggressive portfolio’s aggregate return was 35.95%.  Annualized, these figures would exceed […]