Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 14, 2014 |

A Note on Bond Yields, and Monetary Policy: Not Exactly what is Expected

One of my favorite authors is Isaiah Berlin. I consider his anthology of essays by the title “The Proper Study of Mankind” as one of the finest books published in […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: February 9, 2014 |

Unrelenting Historical Echoes and Markets’ Behavior: Facing an Unavoidable Void?

By Thursday last week we felt that given the markets drop by 5% this year, it was time to put some money to work by investing into companies with strong […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 30, 2014 |

Beautiful Losers Meet Useful Idiots: A Prolegomenon to an Unexpected Price Wave

I did not expect the last commentary to start becoming a reality so soon. In that last commentary I explained that the emerging markets look like prime territory for a […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 18, 2014 |

On Malaise, Credit Flows, and Historical Roots: The Watershed Period and the Echoes of Tijuana Moods

As noted from these commentary pages before, I believe that we have entered into a watershed period that will determine if in about two-three years the global economic system collapses, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 13, 2014 |

Balance Sheet Recession Reconsidered: Rebalancing Acts at a Time of Crisis

Richard Koo has been known as the father of the “balance sheet recession” theory. The essence of his theory states that monetary policy becomes ineffective when interest rates drop to […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: January 5, 2014 |

Assessing the Prospects for 2014, Part III: Market Trends and Rogue Waves

In this third and final commentary regarding market trends and prospects in 2014, I would like us to concentrate on what we assess to be key-elements for equity markets as […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 29, 2013 |

E Pluribus Unum: A Conversation about the Past and the Future with Joseph, William III of England, Edmund Burk, Thomas Paine, and William McChesney Martin

I boarded the flight from Chicago to London. From the plane’s speakers I could clearly hear Tom Petty’s voice singing his song about “dancing in the zombie zoo”. “How appropriate”, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 21, 2013 |

A Prelude to the Historical Inevitability of Price Waves and Rhythms: Part II of Assessing Economic Prospects for 2014 and Handel’s Call for a Rebirth

Numbers reveal conceptual relationships. Price movements become powerful sources of inferential knowledge regarding changing historical conditions. The rhythms of price movements signify an historical inevitability as has been shown over […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 12, 2013 |

Market Prospects, Montesquieu, and Nirvana: Assessing Expectations in 2014, Part I

All signs – as initially discussed below – point to a good year for equities in 2014. Of course, we are not deaf to the voices that talk about a […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: December 6, 2013 |

The Volcker Rule and the Safeguarding of the Financial System: Time to Wind-Down International Toxic Risk

Next Tuesday U.S. regulators are expected to approve a stricter version of the Volcker rule. The latter prohibits banks from proprietary trading which was at the heart of the financial […]