Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 4, 2014 |

Strategic Misconceptions and Market Expectations: The Brighter Side of a Dark Moon

In the last few days we’ve observed geopolitical events taking place from the Middle East to Eastern Europe and from Africa to Asia, shaking the markets and molding expectations. The […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 22, 2014 |

Hypnotized by Dreams of Utopian Placebos, Part II: Jackson Hole Meets the Texas Ratio

In the last commentary our thesis was that the economic landscape does not suffer from secular stagnation but rather from a complex and confused disequilibrium that diminishes expectations. Rather than […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 17, 2014 |

Hypnotized by Dreams of Utopian Placebos: Subpar Performance in an Age of Diminished Expectations, Part I

We are dreaming. We desire utopias. We treat ourselves with placebo drugs and we are hypnotized by all of the above. The symptoms started in Japan in the early 1990s. […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 10, 2014 |

The Groom Still Waiting at the Altar: The Medium-Term Brightening of the Economic Outlook

Over the course of the last few weeks equity markets has felt shocks, with the German DAX index dropping by more than 10% signifying correction territory. As we explained last […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 3, 2014 |

Altering Expectations: Not Exactly What it Usually Means

The market turmoil last week persuaded some that a major correction is at work that will deflate the financial bubble. We would humbly disagree with that prediction. In our opinion […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 21, 2014 |

Central Banks and Market Dislocations: Macroprudential Policy as Enforcer of Uncertainty

In the most recent report from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) – the central bank of the central banks- we observed one the clearest divisions between the accommodative/coordinated policies […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 12, 2014 |

Plumbers Wanted: Financial Clogs and Market Engineering

Over the course of the last several months a sense of market stability has prevailed. This can be seen in the low yields of government securities around the globe, signifying […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 3, 2014 |

The Devolutionary Disease of Conceit: Two Hundred and Thirty Eight Years Later

According to the latest employment data the average pace of job gains in the US has accelerated and now stands at the highest level in the last few years, as […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 29, 2014 |

Wholesale Funding, Rehypothecation, Precious Metals and Pricing: Are We Counting the Cost?

In a recent article Bloomberg reported the following pertaining to the gold market in China: “China’s chief auditor discovered 94.4 billion yuan ($15.2 billion) of loans backed by falsified gold […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 15, 2014 |

Energy Assets, and the Redrawing of Maps: Shifting Strategies & the Markets’ Reaction

How could ISIS, a group of few thousand radical Islamists (a.k.a. Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham) be able to gain control of such vital areas and threaten energy, geopolitical, […]