Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 17, 2015 |

Spreads and the Business Cycle: Opportunities and Risks

The Fed decided earlier today to postpone the increase in short term rates citing global growth and disinflationary concerns. We believe that such concerns are overstated, at least for developed […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 9, 2015 |

Market Gyrations and Expectations: The Net Debt Perspective

As we noted in our last commentary (http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/3181), we anticipate some volatility during the next few weeks, but we also expect it to subside and for the market to find […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 30, 2015 |

Financial Stress and Expectations: The Story of Developed Markets through the Eyes of Emerging Market Realities

As we reported in our Weekly Market Update over the weekend (http://stage.blacksummitfg.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/BFG-Weekly-Brief-August-29-2015.pdf), the US and the EU equity markets experienced one of their most volatile weeks. Over the course of […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 17, 2015 |

On Deep States and Deep Markets: Medea Meets the Neo-Mamluk State of Global Volatility

In the summer months of 1944 World War II had taken a clear trajectory. The deadliest war period in human history was approaching its end. At that time the US […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 10, 2015 |

Recalibrating Investment Strategies: Adapting in an Ever-Changing Landscape

If we took a five-minute helicopter view of the global economic landscape, what would we have observe? Starting from the country of the rising sun, we could say that Japan […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 29, 2015 |

Searching in the Shadows of a Restless Credit Cycle: The Street called Geo-Uncertainty

It is an undisputed fact that the over-collateralization of assets (including toxic ones prior to 2008) and the securitization explosion that took place between 2000-2007, created the seeds of the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 22, 2015 |

Market Fragility and the Business Cycle: The Tales of Blowing Winds

The tale of the last two-three weeks seems to have given room to a market upswing that is softening due to some rising concerns. Chinese government’s stock market intervention subsided […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 6, 2015 |

Contemplating the Grexit Scenarios

Most of us at some point were exposed to a great teacher. Joel Fingerman was that teacher for me. Joel taught me in one of his quantitative classes (Business & […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: July 4, 2015 |

The Return of the Son of Nothing: Greece and the EU after Wandering the Wasteland

Let me state it from the beginning: This Greek referendum is absurd simply because the government has failed its people, and also because the troika’s boneheaded mentality did not allow […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: June 28, 2015 |

Financial Steroids: Greece, China and the Lopsided Approach to Unnatural Policies

Theories are not extracted from history. On the contrary, theories are needed in order to interpret history. Economic phenomena are ordered in accordance to definite laws. Understanding the relationships among […]