Commentaries

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 9, 2016 |

Initial Reflections on US Elections and Markets’ Reaction: The Sisyphus Dilemma

As the results of the election kept coming in on Tuesday night, the futures markets indicated a turbulent opening for Wednesday. However, as the morning hours were unfolding and as […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: November 3, 2016 |

US Presidential Election and Market Perspectives: Asset Allocation in Times of Change

Within six days the US election will (probably) be over. Serious statistical models show that the outcome may be more uncertain than pundits predict. Some of the latest polls in […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 26, 2016 |

Trapped in the Noise of the Market: Rates and Momentum

Markets are looking for an opportunity to break free from the noise of going sideways. It could be that the recently announced deals in mergers and acquisitions could become the […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 18, 2016 |

Credit Impulse and Currency Outlook: Kafka’s Clamence Ponders on Currencies’ Trajectory

This year marks the 60th anniversary since Kafka published his least understood philosophical novel titled “The Fall”. The novel is a series of monologues by its main character (Clamence). Clamence’s […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 8, 2016 |

Hyperkinesis and Financial Ecology: The EU and a Lesson from the Kudzu Weed

The markets seem to be suffering from hyperkinetic activity generated from too much kudzu collateralization, securitization, credit overextension, and central banking intervention. This has resulted  in impulsivity across credit markets […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: October 2, 2016 |

Complacency, Deflationary Bulls, and Inflationary Bears: Japanification in an Era when the Enemy of my Enemy is Still my Enemy

Lack of foresight is not a tactical mistake. It is a dangerous strategic error whose price is paid mainly by innocents over a long period of time. In April 1917, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 27, 2016 |

The Markets and the Search for a Refiner’s Fire: Staring in the Mirror

In chapter 19 of the Odyssey, Homer writes about Penelope’s encounter with a mysterious guest. “Falsehoods all, but he gave his falsehoods all the ring of truth. As she listened […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 13, 2016 |

Enlightenment in the Era of Central Banking: Fearing the Normal or Normalizing Fear?

The flowering of the Enlightenment across Europe in the 17th and 18th centuries took place when a diverse group of thinkers questioned perceived opinion. The names of Descartes, Spinoza, Locke, […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: September 6, 2016 |

Masquerading Risks and Positioning Portfolios for Growth: The Centrally-Induced Fat Tails

The markets have been used to central banks actions that mitigate downturns (the famous/infamous puts that take the names of central bankers such as the Greenspan and Bernanke puts). Such […]

By: John E. Charalambakis | On: August 29, 2016 |

Financial Stress, Valuations, and Realignment Risks: Is Uncertainty Looming?

The external debt of developing economies has more than tripled in the last ten years. Brazil of all countries is selling notes to yield-hungry investors that mature in 2047! Where […]