by Thierry Malleret | Dec 1, 2017 | Uncategorized
November 2017 The global economic outlook remains sunny, with growth stronger than expected in most parts of the world. This benign state of affairs could be misleading because “averages” don’t mean anything anymore. Aggregate data about income or consumption...
by John E. Charalambakis | Nov 30, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
The recent data on M3 (a broader definition of money supply that includes money market funds and large time deposits) show that its growth has been 6.5% (year-on-year) and actually stands at a three-year high (see graph below). How could that be explained and how...
by John E. Charalambakis | Nov 22, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
Given the fundamental trends, we expect global growth to remain healthy in 2018, and therefore we also expect that the credit risk appetite will also remain healthy in 2018. Having said that, we should also state that we expect some tightening in the spreads between...
by Laura Hochstetler | Nov 19, 2017 | Uncategorized, Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities edged slightly lower this week amid an uptick in volatility. Yields on benchmark US 10-year Treasury notes slipped a few basis points to 2.35%, and the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell about 3% mid-week before...
by John E. Charalambakis | Nov 15, 2017 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
The proxy war between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) and Iran is intensifying and our fear is that it may ignite a regional conflict with far-reaching global consequences, especially if Russia and the US take opposite sites. The two Middle Eastern countries have...
by Laura Hochstetler | Nov 12, 2017 | Uncategorized, Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities reached all-time highs at midweek before backing down amid anxiety about delays in US corporate tax cuts. Saudi Arabia’s crackdown on corruption, growing tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia, and the potential for a Venezuelan debt...