by John E. Charalambakis | Oct 16, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
Yesterday the IMF downgraded its projections for economic growth. In its announcement it warned that such action is the result of self-inflicted wounds created by a “precarious” trade war. At a time when central banks are trying to be inventive again via monetary...
by John E. Charalambakis | Oct 11, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized, Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equity markets were buoyed late in the week by hopes for a truce in the US–China trade war and optimism that a Brexit deal might be reached by the end of the month. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose 19 basis points higher than a week...
by John E. Charalambakis | Oct 8, 2019 | Commentaries, Uncategorized
Composite models that assess the risk of a recession in the next 12 months indicate that the probability of a recession happening in the next 12 months has fallen slightly. However, such reading in our humble opinion is mistaken due to a false positive signal related...
by Laura Hochstetler | Oct 5, 2019 | Uncategorized, Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities declined this past week amid signs of slowing US growth. The outlook for slower growth also pushed down the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note 14 basis points to 1.54%. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell...
by Rachel Poole | Oct 2, 2019 | Crossroads, Uncategorized
Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America The US House of Representatives has launched an official impeachment inquiry into...
by Laura Hochstetler | Sep 28, 2019 | Uncategorized, Weekly Market Update
Market Action Global equities were modestly lower on the week, while the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note declined 9 basis points to 1.69%. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil declined $3 to $55.65 as most Saudi oil production came back on...