Existential Market Disruptors, Part II: Contemplating Credit and Currency Scenarios for 2015
The purpose of this commentary is not to convey our outlook for 2015. That will be forthcoming in two parts in the next couple of weeks. Rather its purpose is to express some concerns regarding clouds that are gathering in the investment horizon and which are molded...Existential Disruptors Wanted: Markets’ Demarcation Destiny Faces the Sea of Risks
We live in a delusion. We face a sea of risks and we contemplate if we need more debt. This is like asking a diabetic if he needs more sugar. The global economic system faces a good chance of collapse in the foreseeable future and we are wondering if Draghi’s moral...On the Rising Dollar, Crowded Trades, and Market Prospects: The Background to the 2015 Season
We have entered an era where currency values may move markets into uncharted territory. At the same time complacency and the fact that investments are driven by central banks’ moves, has created an atmosphere where investment activity is more reactive rather than...Derailing Market Optimism: Where is the Engine of Growth?
When we compare equity and oil markets over the course of the last four years it is easy to see that markets in the US are reaching record highs while oil prices are reaching record lows. Obviously, the Fed’s intervention has been a catalyst for the markets’...Searching for Escape in the Middle of Black Holes: On the Balkanization of the Markets
Searching for Escape in the Middle of Black Holes: On the Balkanization of the Markets Let’s start with defining the terms used in this commentary. A black hole is created when massive stars collapse. Once it is formed it keeps growing by absorbing mass from its...Sign Up for Our Publications
