Initial Reflections on US Elections and Markets’ Reaction: The Sisyphus Dilemma
As the results of the election kept coming in on Tuesday night, the futures markets indicated a turbulent opening for Wednesday. However, as the morning hours were unfolding and as the closing indicates, we had a complete reversal with the Dow Jones Industrial Average...US Presidential Election and Market Perspectives: Asset Allocation in Times of Change
Within six days the US election will (probably) be over. Serious statistical models show that the outcome may be more uncertain than pundits predict. Some of the latest polls in swing states show a pretty tight race, while some national polls show the race being a...Trapped in the Noise of the Market: Rates and Momentum
Markets are looking for an opportunity to break free from the noise of going sideways. It could be that the recently announced deals in mergers and acquisitions could become the cornerstone for such a break. On Monday the S&P 500 came close to 2150 and temporarily...Credit Impulse and Currency Outlook: Kafka’s Clamence Ponders on Currencies’ Trajectory
This year marks the 60th anniversary since Kafka published his least understood philosophical novel titled “The Fall”. The novel is a series of monologues by its main character (Clamence). Clamence’s words echo a dark masterpiece of a person who has fallen from grace....Hyperkinesis and Financial Ecology: The EU and a Lesson from the Kudzu Weed
The markets seem to be suffering from hyperkinetic activity generated from too much kudzu collateralization, securitization, credit overextension, and central banking intervention. This has resulted in impulsivity across credit markets and the result is a form of...Sign Up for Our Publications
