Corporate Earnings, Equities Trajectory, and Risks: Considering the Purchase of Cheap Insurance
Over the course of the past several months we have reiterated the point that good growth earnings provide market justification for further rises in the equities market. We continue supporting that thesis and we still hold the view that future earnings for the next...Commodities, Volatility, and Cryptocurrencies: Some Initial Thoughts
Commodity prices usually follow long cycles. As the graph below shows, commodities enjoyed a good run from the early 1990s to the dawn of the financial crisis and recovered pretty quickly from the crisis, then experienced a downward trajectory for about five years...Market Signals, the Economic Cycle, and Enthymemes: Which Sectors Could Benefit?
We have written before that the financial stress index produced by the St. Louis Fed is a very reliable indicator regarding potential dark clouds in the economic and financial horizons. As can be seen in the graph below (updated as of the end of July), the index...Cheapening the Currency: The Wrong Way Forward
In the last few commentaries we have noted that while equity markets may be stretched, there might still be room to grow given the current macro-circumstances, corporate earnings, and business sentiment. In this week’s commentary we would let some graphs do the...World Markets, Bank Debt, and Diversification: Earnings and Other Drivers
As many analysts have pointed out lately, the equity markets at the current levels are stretched, but probably not over-stretched. Global equity correlations have been falling this year (from their high of 77% in 2009 to around 39% in 2017), providing some...Sign Up for Our Publications
