Dum Spiro Spero in the Land of Commodities: The Case of Copper
Cicero is famous for several things, among which is the “Dum Spiro Spero” quote, implying that hope dies last. For weeks now, my colleagues and I have been contemplating drafting an internal portfolio strategy-index. In the land of dismal growth where deflation knocks...The Economic Outlook: Still Looking for the Roses Among the Thorns
It seems that the economic slowdown is taking root. The consensus forecast for the Philly Index that portrays manufacturing activity for the Eastern part of the country was expected to rise from 5.1 to about 7. On the contrary it fell to negative 7.7. This is a big...Financial Infertility: From Euphoria to Paralysis
As readers of our publications, presentations, and commentaries could confirm, for quite some time now we have been talking about the dangers of over-collateralization, especially of collateralizing paper-assets a.k.a. financial instruments of various forms. Moreover,...On Emerging Markets, Fed’s Recent Announcement, Bond Yields, and the Postman’s Bell
James Cain’s book The Postman Always Rings Twice is an allegory of greed, passion, judgment, and even divine intervention. Frank (the novel’s main character) got away with murder the first time. However, the second time around he was wrongly convicted for murder. Here...Manufacturing a Credible Irrationality: Slush Funds, August Memories, and a Prelude to the Chinese Case
In our June newsletter, we announced that in a few months we will publish our research on what we believe to be a Chinese bubble. In that issue we showed how the Chinese coincidental and leading indicators point to a slowdown in China. Since then, the numbers have...Sign Up for Our Publications
