Market Paradoxes, Risks, and the Ming Dynasty: Technophilic Trends Meet Unpredictability and the Fear of Shocks
Last Friday, the S&P 500 reached an all-time high. However, the equal-weighted index of the S&P 500 is still below the old record (as shown in the graph to the right below). Moreover, the Russell 2000 is still in a bear market (more than 20% below its all-time...Looking Forward to 2024: Optimistically Cautious While Assessing Possible Choking Points of Disruption
The actual data for 2023 turned out to be better than the projections. If those trends continue in 2024, then optimism should underline the New Year. Despite fighting a pandemic since 2020, significant supply chain turmoil, inflationary pressures, high interest rates,...Exceptionalism and The Pillars of Society
The invitation for the end-of-the-year flight was a bit unusual. It had an image that looked familiar, as I have a copy of the painting in my office. Obviously, I thought George Grosz would be on the flight. That made the invitation to fly to Nairobi even more...Assessing the Outlook for 2024
John E. Charalambakis & Mohamed Ramzi Roshdi We all remember, not with the fondest memories, the market performance in 2022. The S&P 500 lost 19.4%, and even long-term government bonds performed badly (losing 31.2%) as interest rates kept rising. The...Oh My: Wild Market Moves and Geopolitical Hubris from Aeschylus to Shakespeare’s Coriolanus, Part II
Market bifurcation, as discussed in the previous commentary, is not an exclusive right of markets and geopolitical philosophy/practices. Ten days ago, OpenAI (the parent company of ChatGPT) demanded that right too, after first firing Sam Altman (one of the founders)...Sign Up for Our Publications
