Portfolio Construction in an Era of Transformation: When Tragedians & Mozart Met the Inescapable Smash of Ineluctable Forces, Part II
In our commentary two weeks ago, we described how the confidence and sectoral momenta interact and create the four quadrants of market expectations. In that same commentary we also presented eight forces (consumer confidence, monetary conditions, fiscal conditions,...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities rallyGlobal equities rallied this week after dropping more than 3% last week. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose to 1.17% while oil prices soared. The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil jumped more...
Geopolitical Challenges and Statecraft
The articles we have summarized this week explore the ties between the US and China and Russia, which are arguably the most complicated and tense relationships newly elected President Joe Biden will have to address during his time in office. US-China and...
It’s the Capital Allocation, Stupid
A student asked me for investing book recommendations a couple of weeks ago. There were several that I mentioned but the one I heavily emphasized is a book called The Outsiders by William Thorndike. It’s by no means a hidden gem (Buffett listed it as his #1 book in...
Crossroads: At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics
Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial, and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America Newly elected US President Joe Biden has already made big moves in his first weeks in office....
Covid-19 and the Day After
Here is our take on the articles summarized below: Central banks around the world have pumped trillions of dollars of liquidity into markets in order to ensure some kind of stability in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic. This "liquidity bazooka" as the Bloomberg...
Portfolio Construction in an Era of Transformation: When Sophocles Met the Inescapable Smash of Ineluctable Forces, Part I
Whether we look north or south, east or west, we discover powerful forces that crown this era of metamorphosis and change. With this and the forthcoming commentary on Feb. 9, we would like to share with you our views of the most important forces which, in our opinion,...
Geopolitical Challenges and Statecraft
The world may be reaching another inflection point in the next few years. Instability (political, economic, social, financial) and upheaval may be reaching alarming levels. Consequently, the global balance of power may be shifting. The act of rebalancing the...
Productivity Trajectory and the Chinese Question: Portfolios and the Impact of the Incoming Administration’s Stimuli Packages
Last Thursday (January 14th), the team of the President-Elect proposed a new stimulus package close to $2 trillion. Within a few minutes, the markets reversed gains and ended the day down. The bond markets also sold off and the yields – while they were dropping in the...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities down on the weekGlobal equities were down on the week despite President-Elect Joe Biden's proposal of another Covid-19 relief package. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note changed little on the week, ending at 1.09%. The price...
