Covid-19 and the Day After
Here is our take on the articles summarized below: Though the pandemic has devastated the global economy over the last year, there are signs of a robust economic recovery. National leaders are taking the opportunity the pandemic has presented to rebuild cities and...
Reopening & Execution Risks: Earnings Expectations and the New Wave of Innovations in Historical Perspective
The reflation trade that started in late 2020 and uplifted the fortunes of banks, energy, and small cap stocks might be experiencing a pause lately. However, as shown below, the earnings expectations for the full year are robust and strong. The fact that the leisure,...
Geopolitical Challenges & Statecraft
The global pandemic has had a destabilizing impact on many of the norms and institutions of world governance. For this week’s geopolitical look, we examine how several subsurface trends were brought to light by the crisis, focusing on a contraction of the middle...
Some Thoughts on Inflation
“The cure for high prices, is high prices.” Inflation has probably been the most debated and discussed macroeconomic variable of the past year. It’s been hotly discussed for much of the past decade as hysteria over QE/unconventional monetary policy has absorbed more...
Weekly Market Update
Global Market News Global equities make gainsGlobal equities made gains this week. Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones were up 2.71% and 1.95% respectively, while the Nasdaq ended the week up 3.12%. The US 10-year Treasury dropped down a few bps to 1.66% at Friday’s...
Covid-19 and the Day After
Here is our take on the articles summarized below: While a flurry of positive vaccine news, declining Covid-19 case numbers, and improved economic forecasts have created optimism for a return to “normal”, we are not out of the woods yet. New Covid-19 variants...
Crossroads
At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics Here is a summary of the most important events that unfolded last month, and which may affect economic, financial and geopolitical issues in the months ahead: North America President Joe Biden has unveiled a $2...
Considering the Economic & Portfolio Costs of Free Money: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) & Practice
By: John E. Charalambakis & Dale Ahearn Monetary theory, which posits that a change in money supply is the main driver of economic activity, has played a central role in attempts to manage the economy. The three main levers used by the Federal...
Geopolitical Challenges & Statecraft
Due to the Easter holiday, we will not be posting a Weekly Market Update this Saturday. The global order is entering a phase of multipolarity where a variety of ideological and political ideas are at the forefront of global leadership. To promote international...
When Moore Isn’t Enough: Part II
"The risk that matters most is the risk of permanent loss.” - Howard Marks “When we speak of risk, we are not speaking of share price volatility. Share price volatility provides us with opportunity. When we speak of risk we are thinking about exposure to permanent...
