Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities make gains - Global equities made gains this week. The Nasdaq Index hit a new record this week, surpassing 11,000. The yield on the 10-year US treasury note improved slightly to 0.56% while the price of a barrel of West Texas...

Covid-19 and the Day After

The Covid-19 Pandemic is Forcing a Rethink in Macroeconomics The EconomistRead the full article here The Covid-19 pandemic may be ushering in a new era of macroeconomics. Supply chains and production have been disrupted, but demand has taken the hardest hit. The...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities mostly flatGlobal equities saw little change on the week. We saw initial signs of turmoil and higher risks associated with market valuations. The yield on the US Treasury dropped to 0.55%, and the price of a barrel of West Texas...

Covid-19 and the Day After

Here is a summary of four articles with unique insights that may have an impact on our lives and portfolios in the medium term. Redrawing the Map of Global Trade Boston Consulting GroupRead the full article here More than anything else, the coronavirus crisis has been...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities suffer slight dropGlobal equities ended the week down slightly as news of rising unemployment and heightening tensions between the US and China beat out stimulus and vaccine hopes. The yield on the US Treasury dropped to 0.59%, while...

Covid-19 and the Day After

By Rachel Poole and Tyler Thompson There are those who make a difference. There are those who draft history. And then there are those who change history forever. We hope that our readers will enjoy one of the last interviews that Paul Volcker - the best Chairman of...

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