Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

Assessing the Outlook for 2024

John E. Charalambakis & Mohamed Ramzi Roshdi We all remember, not with the fondest memories, the market performance in 2022. The S&P 500 lost 19.4%, and even long-term government bonds performed badly (losing 31.2%) as interest rates kept rising. The...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities cool Global equities cooled this week after a strong US jobs report pushed back the expected timeline on when the Federal Reserve would begin cutting rates. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 increased 0.01% and 0.21%, respectively, while...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global equities make gains Global equities made gains this week. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 increased 2.42% and 0.77%, respectively, while the Nasdaq rose 0.38%. The US 10-year Treasury continued its decline, closing the week at 4.21%. The price...

Geopolitics & the Day After

As we enter into the last month of 2023, we are assessing some of the defining trends of this year which will undoubtedly shape 2024 as well. We begin with the status of the Chinese economy and its ongoing woes with its property sector which is leading to civil...

CROSSROADS

At the Intersection of Geopolitics and Geoeconomics November 21, 2023 | Volume 6, Issue 10 | The BlackSummit Team Here is a summary of important events that unfolded over the last month, and which may affect economic, financial, and geopolitical issues in the months...

Weekly Market Update

The BlackSummit Team | November 18, 2023 Global Market News Global equities make gains Global equities made gains this week. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 gained 1.94% and 2.24%, respectively, while the Nasdaq rose 2.37%. The US 10-year Treasury fell several basis...

Geopolitics & the Day After

Fighting in the Gaza Strip between Hamas and Israel continues to escalate and the humanitarian crisis continues to worsen especially as hospitals and other civilian infrastructure have become stages for the conflict. This week, we assess the possibility of a two-state...

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