Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the unraveling of America’s traditional expertise-based foreign policy as political loyalists reshape global engagement, while a revived “concert of powers” vision signals a shift toward great-power accommodation and...

The Markets at a Junction: The Dollar, Seneca, the Flows of Capital, and Japan, Part II

When a market (or any institution) lacks an anchor, a myriad of negative repercussions unfold, starting with the lack of tranquility. The absence of the latter creates uncertainty, and the effect of the uncertainty is turmoil. In the following graph, we see the impact...

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive tariff policies and rhetoric, especially towards China and the EU, are major drivers of continued market uncertainty and volatility over the past two weeks. This is evidenced by the elevated VIX (hitting a high of over 53...

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine how Europe’s strategic identity is being tested as it stands at a crossroads between deeper alignment with a U.S.-led alliance and economic entanglement with China, amid rising tariff battles and an evolving doctrine of...

CROSSROADS: Middle East, Asia, Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East/North Africa Last week, Israel's Defense Minister Israel Katz declared the seizure of extensive Gaza territory, creating "buffer zones" and effectively isolating Rafah, a city once sheltering over 250,000 Palestinians, with military maps showing a...

CROSSROADS: US, Europe, China & India

North America On April 2nd, U.S. President Donald Trump launched his “Liberation Day” tariff plan, imposing 10%–50% tariffs on nearly all foreign imports using a controversial formula based on trade surpluses, only to contradict prior statements over the...

Weekly Market Update

Global Market News Global Equities Rebound Global equities gained this week, attempting to recover some losses from last week's correction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased 5.70% and 7.29%, respectively, and the Dow Jones rose 4.95% on the week. The U.S....

Geopolitics & the Day After

This week in Geopolitical Concerns, we examine the accelerating disintegration of the postwar global order as President Trump’s sweeping tariffs threaten to unravel decades of economic integration and strain the transatlantic alliance, while scholars warn of a...

The Wooden Nickel: Tarrified

The Wooden Nickel is a collection of roughly a handful of recent topics that have caught our attention. Here you’ll find current, open-ended thoughts. We wish to use this piece as a way to think out loud in public rather than formal proclamations or projections....

Bi-Weekly Market Update

US Equity Markets President Trump’s aggressive global tariffs, imposed across virtually all the United States’ major trading partners, have ignited fears of a full-blown trade war and potential global recession. The tariffs could raise prices, invite retaliation, slow...

The Markets in Purgatory

They did it again. They rolled the dice again in favor of $600 billion in purchases, and when we count the repurchases of other paper-instruments (e.g. mortgages and MBS), the amount becomes larger, and that’s for starters. What puzzles us is that all media refer to...

ΙΣΧΟΜΑΧΟΣ ΚΑΙ ΑΣΤΑΘΕΙΑ: CUI BONO?

Πολλά έχουν γραφτεί και ακόμα περισσότερα έχουν ειπωθεί σχετικά με το δίλημμα που έθεσε ο Πρωθυπουργός όσον αφορά το αποτέλεσμα των περιφερειακών εκλογών. Θα ήθελα να ανατρέξουμε κάποιους αιώνες πίσω, μεταξύ 390 και 360 π..Χ. Στον «Οικονομικό» του Ξενοφώντα. Ο...

O ΣΙΣΥΦΟΣ, ΟΙ ΑΓΟΡΕΣ, ΚΑΙ ΟΙ ΙΣΟΤΙΜΙΕΣ

Ο μύθος του Σίσυφου πρωτοειπώθηκε από τον Όμηρο. Καταδικάστηκε από τους θεούς να κυλά ένα βράχο στην κορυφή ενός βουνού. Η μοίρα της πέτρας ήταν να κατρακυλά πίσω στη βάση του βουνού, και ο Σίσυφος έπρεπε νε ξαναρχίσει πάλι την προσπάθεια από την αρχή. Όταν διαβάζει...

Brand Name Icarus: Lessons Learned?

Today China decided to raise its lending and deposit rates. How could we interpret such a move? In the near future we will draft a commentary on Icarus, but let us recall quickly his story. His father Daedalus prepared him wings to fly, warning him not to fly too...

Here we go again.

The second phase of the global economic crisis (fiscal and consequently sovereign debt) is rearing its ugly head again. News broke on Friday that the government of Ireland would stand behind Anglo Irish Bank with liquidity injections. The bailout of this...

Α ΧΑΜΕΝΟΣ ΠΑΡΑΔΕΙΣΟΣ: ΜΙΑ ΔΙΑΦΟΡΕΤΙΚΗ ΜΑΤΙΑ ΜΕ ΒΑΣΗ ΤΙΣ ΠΙΟ ΠΡΟΣΦΑΤΕΣ ΕΠΕΝΔΥΤΙΚΕΣ ΜΑΣ ΠΡΟΤΑΣΕΙΣ

«Ο κόσμος ανοιγόταν όλος ενώπιον τους, τον τόπο αναπαύσεώς τους για να βρουν και η Θεία Πρόνοια οδηγός και σύντροφός τους. Χέρι-χέρι, περιπλανώμενοι, με βήματα αργά διαβαίνοντας απ’ της Εδέμ τον Κήπο κίνησαν για το δρόμο τους μοναχικά» John Milton, Book XII (το τέλος...

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